ECONOMY: SIGNS OF ECONOMIC RESILIENCE IN MAY U.S. economic data improved in May on balance, even as investors battled a resurgence in U.S.-China trade tensions. Leading indicators signaled low odds of a recession in the coming year. The Conference Board’s Leading...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Policy uncertainty remains high, particularly around trade. While it is good news that an agreement was reached with Mexico over the weekend to avoid those tariffs, a trade deal with China is unlikely until more economic pain is incurred by both China...
KEY TAKEAWAYS This economic expansion is now one of the longest on record. Trade tensions have threatened growth, but economic data still appear sound. If the trade dispute continues, the Fed could be forced to intervene. Click here to download a PDF of this report....
Trade tensions have interrupted an unusually calm year in U.S. stocks. In May, the S&P 500 Index fell from an April 30 record high as the United States and China failed to reach a trade deal and escalated tariff tensions. The United States also proposed new...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Worrisome signals from the bond market contributed to stocks’ first monthly decline of 2019. While we expect rates to end the year solidly above current levels, until we get some good news on the trade front, rates are likely to remain stubbornly low. If...
KEY TAKEAWAYS The 10-year Treasury yield has declined at a rapid pace. Economic fundamentals still look sound, even as yields send cautious signals. Investors around the world have rushed into Treasuries for income, safety, and liquidity. Click here to download a PDF...
