KEY TAKEAWAYS Earnings growth for the fourth quarter is tracking to a solid 17%, above prior estimates but below the pace of the previous three quarters. The bar has been substantially lowered for the first quarter, setting up potential upside surprises, particularly...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Stocks posted their best January in more than 30 years after a historically bad December. Stocks’ bounce was the easy part; the next 10% will likely be much harder. There are technical signs that suggest December marked a major low and potentially higher...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We expect the Fed to pause interest rate hikes this week. While the market environment has been challenging, we think recent weakness increases the chances of a positive market response post-tightening cycle. Whether the Fed’s rate hike campaign is...
KEY TAKEAWAYS S&P 500 earnings growth will slow in the fourth quarter but is still expected to be strong. U.S. economic growth, tax cuts, higher oil prices, and corporate stock buybacks are among the positive drivers. However, earnings may be capped by trade...
KEY TAKEAWAYS A significant drop in stock market valuations may portend aboveaverage stock market performance, based on history. Stocks also look attractively valued relative to bonds based on a comparison of earnings yields. Though it is difficult to think long term...
KEY TAKEAWAYS The S&P 500 Index came about as close as possible to the technical definition of a bear market without officially registering one. We offer some historical perspective on bear markets and our latest thoughts on fundamentals, the Fed, the government...
